Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.925856 2.210435 2.525503 2.900696 3.335984 3.825877 4.420134
2025-05-18 1.478465 1.854403 2.311543 2.910581 3.678219 4.633359 5.918829
2025-05-25 1.201327 1.598341 2.112322 2.830801 3.816106 5.129866 7.030869
2025-06-01 1.052045 1.468752 2.036634 2.873972 4.088931 5.805597 8.446648
2025-06-08 0.946415 1.377178 1.990811 2.938574 4.383340 6.531636 10.021544
2025-06-15 0.847601 1.278937 1.917755 2.945669 4.582817 7.130724 11.477349
2025-06-22 0.750258 1.168968 1.810852 2.882125 4.656668 7.534173 12.665684
2025-06-29 0.674480 1.082373 1.727880 2.842273 4.756943 7.983178 13.981583
2025-07-06 0.606411 0.999810 1.640832 2.782562 4.811725 8.355201 15.205496
2025-07-13 0.583892 0.989458 1.670221 2.921992 5.225277 9.398100 17.797440
2025-07-20 0.540068 0.937756 1.623163 2.919855 5.381195 9.990475 19.613651
2025-07-27 0.510365 0.907439 1.609646 2.975653 5.649050 10.821642 22.019217
2025-08-03 0.468089 0.854834 1.558992 2.972818 5.837898 11.592486 24.580030
2025-08-10 0.430198 0.807155 1.514027 2.979684 6.057334 12.480393 27.613109
2025-08-17 0.386895 0.743764 1.430997 2.898018 6.079728 12.956369 29.809444
2025-08-24 0.362641 0.714578 1.410913 2.942280 6.375602 14.068578 33.708979
2025-08-31 0.343111 0.692458 1.402066 3.008524 6.728966 15.365775 38.323762
2025-09-07 0.320042 0.660341 1.368595 3.015799 6.947875 16.383960 42.438261
2025-09-14 0.293179 0.617225 1.306797 2.950640 6.985422 16.968971 45.523508
2025-09-21 0.271093 0.582048 1.258273 2.909776 7.075785 17.700141 49.167565
2025-09-28 0.249700 0.546148 1.204181 2.848551 7.105940 18.280964 52.506744
2025-10-05 0.244592 0.546394 1.232179 2.991520 7.684837 20.420621 60.970061
2025-10-12 0.230133 0.523537 1.203849 2.989329 7.877779 21.533467 66.516169